Monday, May 3, 2010

Red River Shootout: Predictions


Amidst all the drama surrounding the Big 12's future, the outcome that seemed certain was the link between Texas and Oklahoma. The existence of the Red River Rivalry was sure to be preserved, as it celebrates it's 110th birthday this fall. So now, with the Big 12 breathing once again, we can finally continue discussing what's really important: football. Here are my predictions on the game, along with some keys strengths and weaknesses of each team.


Oklahoma

A season ago, the loss of Sam Bradford was had an atomic bomb sized impact on the city of Norman, and essentially destroyed Oklahoma's shot at a return to the National Championship. Now, Sooners fans are grateful that quaterback Landry Jones is entering his sophomore year with more than half a season under his belt.

Jones showed promise after being forced to fill Heisman-sized shoes, throwing for 3200 yards and posting a 26-14 touchdown to interception ratio. With 9 returning starters on offense, including stellar runningback DeMarco Murray and an impressive array of wideouts featuring Ryan Broyles, the Sooners shouldn't find it hard to put up points. Murray should find success against a shaky Texas defensive line, giving the Sooners the advantage on that side of the ball. This also gives Oklahoma the balanced approach Bob Stoops likes.

The cause for concern is on the defensive side of the ball. Only 5 starters return to a top-ranked OU defense, which may be the Sooners' kryponite against a consitanty athletic Longhorn offense. The Losses of Gerald McCoy and Auston English will hurt, but the Sooners have arguably the best pass rusher in the Big 12 in Jeremy Beal. Expect Beal to cause havoc in the backfield, with only two returning Texas offensive linemen. The primary issue will be at linebacker, where all-conference selection Travis Lewis is the lone returning starter.

Keep your eye on: WR Ryan Broyles; Broyles emerged as the favorite target for Landry Jones, accumulating 1120 yards and 15 touchdowns as a sophomore. It should be fun to watch Broyles compete against a stout Texas secondary.


Texas

Following the heartbreaking injury to Colt Mccoy and loss to Alabama, all eyes will be on quarterback Garrett Gilbert as he emerges as the new face of the Texas Longhorns, being only their third quarterback in 8 years. I think its safe to say that Longhorn fans are encouraged by the youngster's potential, given the fact that he's already played (and did well) in a bigger game than 99.9 percent of players in the country.

Besides McCoy, the biggest loss offensively for the Longhorns will be on the O-line, as they lose three decorated veterans, including Adam Ulatoski. In addition, the Horns lose All-American WR Jordan Shipley to the NFL and WR Dan Buckner, who transfered to Arizona. This leaves the athletic Jon Chiles and James Kirkendoll as Gilbert's pimary targets, both of whom can make big plays. It looks like Tre Newton will emerge as the premier ball-carrier, and must be ready to make a significant impact in play-making and yardage production. It's likely that the Mack Brown will somewhat alter his offensive scheme, given that his past two quarterbacks have made major contributions to the running game.

Defensively, Texas will be lead by their experienced secondary who, despite the loss of Earl Thomas, should emerge as possibly the best in the Big 12, as they return 3 starters. Expect safety Black Gideon to build on his improvement last season and make some big plays in 2010. Despite the return of Lott Trophy finalist Sam Acho, the Texas defensive line looks to be suspect. The Horns lose star DE Sergio Kindle, leaving Kheeston Randall and Acho to anchor the line. In addition look for bother Emmanuel Acho to emerge as a force at linebacker. Overall, with 7 returning starters, the Longhorn defense looks poised to be among the leagues best.

Keep your eye on: QB Garrett Gilbert; All eyes are on Gilbert follow in the footsteps of Vince and Colt McCoy, amid great losses at WR and an O-line that was spectacular in 2009

Predicted winner: Oklahoma

Bob Stoops knows where his team stands offensively, which will be the key in this matchup. Expect Landry Jones and the Sooner offense to be successful in this one. The Longhorn defensive line and linbackers must bring their A game in order to contain DeMarco Murray, who is my chosen MVP for the game. The key for the Longhorns will be on the offensive side. If Texas can match Oklahoma in yardage and points, the Horns will have a much better change of coming away with a win. If not, expect to see the Sooners pull off the upset. I have a lot faith in Bob Stoops' offense which I think will be reason enough for Oklahoma take the game.

Sunday, April 4, 2010

Butler's Championship Run: Why you Shouldn't Surprised

Oh, the thrill of March Madness. A special time when the impossible becomes possible. When the gap between the majors and the mid-majors shrinks, and in some cases disappears altogether. While I must admit that I do love talking nonstop about spring-time Cinderella stories, I seem to be hesitant to place Butler in that category.

Thus far, the Bulldogs have made a run that has made spectators scratch their heads in confusion. Most of these people most likely couldn't find Butler University on a map, which raises the question: how has this team been so good? While nontheless a consistantly solid program, Butler is undoubtedly placed in the "mid-major" category, something that has people in awe when they watch the Bulldogs shut down Michigan State, handle Kansas State, and prevail against Syracuse.
The reason is, in my opinion, pretty simple. Butler is GOOD. Now, I don't mean Murray State or Northern Iowa, one upset good. I mean four straight NCAA tournament appearances good. In four short years, Brad Stevens has taken this team from a consistant conference contender to a conference-dominating powerhouse in the making. People wonder when this program will reach Gonzaga's level. This is laughable. In recent years, this team has surpassed anything Gonzaga has accomplished, minus a player of the year (yet).


With record of 118-21 at Butler, and a future first round draft pick in Gordon Hayward, Stevens doesn't act like he's new to the big stage. After Butler's defeat of Michigan State, he calmly strolled over to Tom Izzo and shook his hand. For Stevens, it seemed like just another day in the office. Another day, another high-seeded powerhouse beat. That confidence, along with Butler's structured, defense-oriented, selfless style of play, and the sharp-shooting of Gordon Hayward and Shelvin Mack, is enough to make Coach K and the Blue Devils worried.


CTB